Recent polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset elections show a fragmented contest where no bloc reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority, with Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party often leading or tying Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud at 22-25 seats each. The 3.25% electoral threshold remains decisive for smaller lists, as recent surveys indicate parties such as Ofer Winter's People of Israel and the Hendel-Zelekha Economic Party hover near or above it in some averages while others fall short. Party lists were finalized after the September 8 deadline, surplus-vote agreements were signed among several factions, and disqualification petitions targeting lists including Otzma Yehudit were filed with the Central Elections Committee. These procedural steps and polling volatility directly shape trader assessments of which parties will secure seats.