Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 62%
Meituan 20.5%
Xiaomi 15.2%
Microsoft 13.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
57%
Meituan
21%
Xiaomi
15%
Microsoft
14%
Meta
12%
OpenAI
11%
Moonshot
11%
DeepSeek
11%
9%
SpaceXAI
8%
Alibaba
7%
StepFun
5%
ByteDance
4%
MiniMax
4%
Z.ai
4%
Mistral
3%
Nvidia
10%
Tencent
9%
Baidu
1%
Thinky
1%
Amazon
16%
Anthropic 62%
Meituan 20.5%
Xiaomi 15.2%
Microsoft 13.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$77 Обс.
57%
Meituan
$110 Обс.
21%
Xiaomi
$112 Обс.
15%
Microsoft
$108 Обс.
14%
Meta
$39 Обс.
12%
OpenAI
$39 Обс.
11%
Moonshot
$39 Обс.
11%
DeepSeek
$44 Обс.
11%
$39 Обс.
9%
SpaceXAI
$39 Обс.
8%
Alibaba
$39 Обс.
7%
StepFun
$77 Обс.
5%
ByteDance
$93 Обс.
4%
MiniMax
$110 Обс.
4%
Z.ai
$47 Обс.
4%
Mistral
$112 Обс.
3%
Nvidia
$106 Обс.
10%
Tencent
$110 Обс.
9%
Baidu
$54 Обс.
1%
Thinky
$110 Обс.
1%
Amazon
$106 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,608Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$1,608Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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