Texas's 33rd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban and suburban demographics around Dallas-Fort Worth, consistent with historical voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Marc Veasey's retirement opened the seat, and the Democratic primary produced Colin Allred as nominee after his May 2026 runoff victory over incumbent Julie Johnson, providing a high-profile candidate with prior congressional and statewide experience. Republicans have nominated a challenger but face structural disadvantages in registration, turnout, and fundraising that align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for Democrats. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing, candidate-specific scandal, or major redistricting shift before the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,885 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$2,884 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban and suburban demographics around Dallas-Fort Worth, consistent with historical voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Marc Veasey's retirement opened the seat, and the Democratic primary produced Colin Allred as nominee after his May 2026 runoff victory over incumbent Julie Johnson, providing a high-profile candidate with prior congressional and statewide experience. Republicans have nominated a challenger but face structural disadvantages in registration, turnout, and fundraising that align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for Democrats. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing, candidate-specific scandal, or major redistricting shift before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,769Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban and suburban demographics around Dallas-Fort Worth, consistent with historical voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Marc Veasey's retirement opened the seat, and the Democratic primary produced Colin Allred as nominee after his May 2026 runoff victory over incumbent Julie Johnson, providing a high-profile candidate with prior congressional and statewide experience. Republicans have nominated a challenger but face structural disadvantages in registration, turnout, and fundraising that align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for Democrats. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing, candidate-specific scandal, or major redistricting shift before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,769Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 33rd congressional district features a strong Democratic lean rooted in its urban and suburban demographics around Dallas-Fort Worth, consistent with historical voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Marc Veasey's retirement opened the seat, and the Democratic primary produced Colin Allred as nominee after his May 2026 runoff victory over incumbent Julie Johnson, providing a high-profile candidate with prior congressional and statewide experience. Republicans have nominated a challenger but face structural disadvantages in registration, turnout, and fundraising that align with the current trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for Democrats. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing, candidate-specific scandal, or major redistricting shift before the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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