Texas's 32nd congressional district became an open seat after redistricting shifted its lines rightward, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek reelection in the neighboring TX-33. The March 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Dan Barrios and a Republican field that advanced to a May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer benefiting from the new map's stronger Republican performance metrics. Cook Political Report and other raters classify the race as Lean Republican, reflecting the district's suburban Dallas and East Texas composition and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican versus 24.5% Democratic aligns with this structural edge, though the November general election remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$28,265 Обс.
$28,265 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
25%
$28,265 Обс.
$28,265 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$26,790 Обс.
77%
Democratic Party
$1,475 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district became an open seat after redistricting shifted its lines rightward, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek reelection in the neighboring TX-33. The March 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Dan Barrios and a Republican field that advanced to a May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer benefiting from the new map's stronger Republican performance metrics. Cook Political Report and other raters classify the race as Lean Republican, reflecting the district's suburban Dallas and East Texas composition and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican versus 24.5% Democratic aligns with this structural edge, though the November general election remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,265Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district became an open seat after redistricting shifted its lines rightward, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek reelection in the neighboring TX-33. The March 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Dan Barrios and a Republican field that advanced to a May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer benefiting from the new map's stronger Republican performance metrics. Cook Political Report and other raters classify the race as Lean Republican, reflecting the district's suburban Dallas and East Texas composition and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican versus 24.5% Democratic aligns with this structural edge, though the November general election remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,265Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 32nd congressional district became an open seat after redistricting shifted its lines rightward, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek reelection in the neighboring TX-33. The March 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Dan Barrios and a Republican field that advanced to a May runoff, with the eventual GOP standard-bearer benefiting from the new map's stronger Republican performance metrics. Cook Political Report and other raters classify the race as Lean Republican, reflecting the district's suburban Dallas and East Texas composition and historical voting patterns favoring the party. Trader consensus at 76.5% Republican versus 24.5% Democratic aligns with this structural edge, though the November general election remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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