Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, followed by fluctuating support among KPRF, New People, and LDPR in the 9–16 percent range. LDPR's positioning for third place reflects its steady national-patriotic platform, recent candidate registrations, and social policy proposals that have sustained voter intention near or above New People in several surveys. New People trails in trader consensus despite gains in some June–September readings, while KPRF and A Just Russia register lower implied probabilities consistent with their more recent vote-share estimates. The mixed electoral system and five-percent threshold further shape seat projections that traders weigh in current pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 56%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.8%
$78,416 Обс.
$78,416 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
56%
New People (NL)
34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%
Yabloko
1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 56%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.8%
$78,416 Обс.
$78,416 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$22,948 Обс.
56%
New People (NL)
$16,257 Обс.
34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,982 Обс.
9%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,966 Обс.
3%
Yabloko
$11,488 Обс.
1%
Rodina
$3,969 Обс.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,543 Обс.
<1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,262 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, followed by fluctuating support among KPRF, New People, and LDPR in the 9–16 percent range. LDPR's positioning for third place reflects its steady national-patriotic platform, recent candidate registrations, and social policy proposals that have sustained voter intention near or above New People in several surveys. New People trails in trader consensus despite gains in some June–September readings, while KPRF and A Just Russia register lower implied probabilities consistent with their more recent vote-share estimates. The mixed electoral system and five-percent threshold further shape seat projections that traders weigh in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Обсяг
$78,416Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, followed by fluctuating support among KPRF, New People, and LDPR in the 9–16 percent range. LDPR's positioning for third place reflects its steady national-patriotic platform, recent candidate registrations, and social policy proposals that have sustained voter intention near or above New People in several surveys. New People trails in trader consensus despite gains in some June–September readings, while KPRF and A Just Russia register lower implied probabilities consistent with their more recent vote-share estimates. The mixed electoral system and five-percent threshold further shape seat projections that traders weigh in current pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Обсяг
$78,416Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18–20 State Duma vote shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, followed by fluctuating support among KPRF, New People, and LDPR in the 9–16 percent range. LDPR's positioning for third place reflects its steady national-patriotic platform, recent candidate registrations, and social policy proposals that have sustained voter intention near or above New People in several surveys. New People trails in trader consensus despite gains in some June–September readings, while KPRF and A Just Russia register lower implied probabilities consistent with their more recent vote-share estimates. The mixed electoral system and five-percent threshold further shape seat projections that traders weigh in current pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
Чи отримає «Єдина Росія» (ЄР) найбільше місць на наступних парламентських виборах у Росії?
99%
Так
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання