North Korea’s ongoing weapons development program and pattern of periodic testing keep trader odds tight between one and three-plus August launches. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un-supervised cruise missile firings from naval destroyers and tactical ballistic missile evaluations in June and July 2026, continuing a series of short-range and precision strikes that began early in the year. These tests reflect efforts to enhance strike capabilities against regional targets amid ongoing tensions with South Korea and the United States. Historical variability in launch frequency—sometimes clustered, sometimes sparse—combined with potential diplomatic signals or military exercises by Seoul and Washington, sustains uncertainty about whether Pyongyang will maintain, accelerate, or pause its schedule during the month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
3+ 47%
1 46%
<1 41%
2 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
<1
41%
1
46%
2
27%
3+
47%
3+ 47%
1 46%
<1 41%
2 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
<1
$20 Обс.
41%
1
$20 Обс.
46%
2
$15 Обс.
27%
3+
$20 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s ongoing weapons development program and pattern of periodic testing keep trader odds tight between one and three-plus August launches. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un-supervised cruise missile firings from naval destroyers and tactical ballistic missile evaluations in June and July 2026, continuing a series of short-range and precision strikes that began early in the year. These tests reflect efforts to enhance strike capabilities against regional targets amid ongoing tensions with South Korea and the United States. Historical variability in launch frequency—sometimes clustered, sometimes sparse—combined with potential diplomatic signals or military exercises by Seoul and Washington, sustains uncertainty about whether Pyongyang will maintain, accelerate, or pause its schedule during the month.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$75Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s ongoing weapons development program and pattern of periodic testing keep trader odds tight between one and three-plus August launches. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un-supervised cruise missile firings from naval destroyers and tactical ballistic missile evaluations in June and July 2026, continuing a series of short-range and precision strikes that began early in the year. These tests reflect efforts to enhance strike capabilities against regional targets amid ongoing tensions with South Korea and the United States. Historical variability in launch frequency—sometimes clustered, sometimes sparse—combined with potential diplomatic signals or military exercises by Seoul and Washington, sustains uncertainty about whether Pyongyang will maintain, accelerate, or pause its schedule during the month.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Обсяг
$75Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea’s ongoing weapons development program and pattern of periodic testing keep trader odds tight between one and three-plus August launches. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un-supervised cruise missile firings from naval destroyers and tactical ballistic missile evaluations in June and July 2026, continuing a series of short-range and precision strikes that began early in the year. These tests reflect efforts to enhance strike capabilities against regional targets amid ongoing tensions with South Korea and the United States. Historical variability in launch frequency—sometimes clustered, sometimes sparse—combined with potential diplomatic signals or military exercises by Seoul and Washington, sustains uncertainty about whether Pyongyang will maintain, accelerate, or pause its schedule during the month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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