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Політика·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Політика·Pedro Sanchez

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.7%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Обс.

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 80%

Pedro Sánchez 9.7%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso 4.7%

Santiago Abascal 4.1%

Polymarket

$121,787 Обс.

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$28,751 Обс.

80%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$20,496 Обс.

10%

icon for Isabel Díaz Ayuso

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

$7,171 Обс.

5%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$12,407 Обс.

4%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,181 Обс.

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$4,673 Обс.

<1%

icon for Óscar Puente

Óscar Puente

$2,972 Обс.

<1%

icon for Carlos Cuerpo

Carlos Cuerpo

$3,162 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,271 Обс.

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,723 Обс.

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$4,786 Обс.

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,560 Обс.

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,211 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,188 Обс.

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,191 Обс.

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,045 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$121,787
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing for Spain’s next prime minister at 79.5% because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge ahead of the general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional defeats for the PSOE, ongoing judicial investigations into party figures tied to the Koldo affair and related cases, and the loss of key parliamentary support from Junts have left Pedro Sánchez’s minority government reliant on repeated budget extensions and facing coalition strain. A fresh migration surge in Ceuta has added pressure on Sánchez’s handling of border and foreign policy issues with Morocco. Feijóo has signaled openness to a national-level arrangement with Vox, aligning with PP-Vox regional governance patterns, while Sánchez has reaffirmed his intent to lead the PSOE into the contest. Ayuso and Abascal trail at low single digits amid limited paths to a viable majority.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$121,787
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Prime Minister of Spain?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Alberto Núñez Feijóo» з 80%, далі «Pedro Sánchez» з 10%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» згенерував $121.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Prime Minister of Spain?», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» — «Alberto Núñez Feijóo» з 80%. Наступний — «Pedro Sánchez» з 10%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.