Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour and National nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with the National-led coalition holding a narrow overall edge in bloc support that has fluctuated within single digits. Minor parties including the surging Opportunity Party, NZ First, ACT, and the Greens are fragmenting the vote and complicating majority formation under MMP rules, keeping outright victory probabilities close. Traders reflect this uncertainty through slim margins between Labour and National. Further separation could arise from late-campaign shifts in economic sentiment, leadership approval trends, or coalition negotiations that clarify post-election government formation paths.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 55%
National Party 46%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$56,948 Обс.
$56,948 Обс.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
46%
Labour Party
55%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 55%
National Party 46%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$56,948 Обс.
$56,948 Обс.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$23,612 Обс.
46%
Labour Party
$17,237 Обс.
55%
Green Party
$4,178 Обс.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,136 Обс.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 Обс.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,214 Обс.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour and National nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with the National-led coalition holding a narrow overall edge in bloc support that has fluctuated within single digits. Minor parties including the surging Opportunity Party, NZ First, ACT, and the Greens are fragmenting the vote and complicating majority formation under MMP rules, keeping outright victory probabilities close. Traders reflect this uncertainty through slim margins between Labour and National. Further separation could arise from late-campaign shifts in economic sentiment, leadership approval trends, or coalition negotiations that clarify post-election government formation paths.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$56,948Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour and National nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with the National-led coalition holding a narrow overall edge in bloc support that has fluctuated within single digits. Minor parties including the surging Opportunity Party, NZ First, ACT, and the Greens are fragmenting the vote and complicating majority formation under MMP rules, keeping outright victory probabilities close. Traders reflect this uncertainty through slim margins between Labour and National. Further separation could arise from late-campaign shifts in economic sentiment, leadership approval trends, or coalition negotiations that clarify post-election government formation paths.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Обсяг
$56,948Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election show Labour and National nearly tied in party vote share around 30 percent each, with the National-led coalition holding a narrow overall edge in bloc support that has fluctuated within single digits. Minor parties including the surging Opportunity Party, NZ First, ACT, and the Greens are fragmenting the vote and complicating majority formation under MMP rules, keeping outright victory probabilities close. Traders reflect this uncertainty through slim margins between Labour and National. Further separation could arise from late-campaign shifts in economic sentiment, leadership approval trends, or coalition negotiations that clarify post-election government formation paths.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
38%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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