Recent polling averages position New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote, behind National and Labour, with both minor parties typically registering 8-15% support. Coalition government performance on cost-of-living pressures and unemployment has shaped voter shifts, while New Zealand First benefits from Winston Peters' established base and policy focus on infrastructure and sovereignty. Green support draws from environmental and equity priorities, though recent 1News-Verian and other surveys show the emerging Opportunity Party gaining ground near the 5% threshold and pressuring smaller-party shares. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical precedent for minor-party volatility in New Zealand's MMP system ahead of the final campaign period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,272 Обс.
$13,272 Обс.
Nov 7, 2026
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,272 Обс.
$13,272 Обс.
Nov 7, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$4,956 Обс.
53%
Green Party
$5,360 Обс.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Обс.
2%
National Party
$415 Обс.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Обс.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Обс.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages position New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote, behind National and Labour, with both minor parties typically registering 8-15% support. Coalition government performance on cost-of-living pressures and unemployment has shaped voter shifts, while New Zealand First benefits from Winston Peters' established base and policy focus on infrastructure and sovereignty. Green support draws from environmental and equity priorities, though recent 1News-Verian and other surveys show the emerging Opportunity Party gaining ground near the 5% threshold and pressuring smaller-party shares. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical precedent for minor-party volatility in New Zealand's MMP system ahead of the final campaign period.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,272Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages position New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote, behind National and Labour, with both minor parties typically registering 8-15% support. Coalition government performance on cost-of-living pressures and unemployment has shaped voter shifts, while New Zealand First benefits from Winston Peters' established base and policy focus on infrastructure and sovereignty. Green support draws from environmental and equity priorities, though recent 1News-Verian and other surveys show the emerging Opportunity Party gaining ground near the 5% threshold and pressuring smaller-party shares. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical precedent for minor-party volatility in New Zealand's MMP system ahead of the final campaign period.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Обсяг
$13,272Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position New Zealand First and the Green Party as the primary contenders for third place in the November 2026 general election party vote, behind National and Labour, with both minor parties typically registering 8-15% support. Coalition government performance on cost-of-living pressures and unemployment has shaped voter shifts, while New Zealand First benefits from Winston Peters' established base and policy focus on infrastructure and sovereignty. Green support draws from environmental and equity priorities, though recent 1News-Verian and other surveys show the emerging Opportunity Party gaining ground near the 5% threshold and pressuring smaller-party shares. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical precedent for minor-party volatility in New Zealand's MMP system ahead of the final campaign period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
38%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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