**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 81%
SPD 20%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$720,057 Обс.
$720,057 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
81%
SPD
20%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 81%
SPD 20%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$720,057 Обс.
$720,057 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$198,901 Обс.
81%
SPD
$162,219 Обс.
20%
Linke
$27,668 Обс.
<1%
FW
$115,965 Обс.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Обс.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Обс.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Обс.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$720,057Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Обсяг
$720,057Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**AfD leads the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election market at 81% implied probability because multiple late-August polls show the party holding a narrow but consistent lead over the SPD as the strongest force two weeks before the 20 September vote.** Recent Infratest dimap and Forsa surveys place AfD at 35–37% and SPD at 28–32%, with the latter gaining ground but remaining behind. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition trails a majority threshold in current trends, while other parties including CDU, Greens, Linke, BSW, and FDP poll well below levels that would alter the first-place outcome. Traders price AfD as the frontrunner for the largest share of seats under the state’s proportional system, reflecting sustained polling advantages and limited realistic paths for rivals to overtake it before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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