Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to an overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on September 13, supported by a stable mild air mass, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions above the long-term September average low near 12°C. Strong model agreement across runs underpins the market's overwhelming consensus at 17°C. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected increase in low-level moisture could produce a 1–2°C cooler reading at the official station, though such shifts appear unlikely before midnight based on the latest guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
17°C 97%
15°C 3%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
97%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 97%
15°C 3%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
$51 Обс.
2%
10°C
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$0 Обс.
2%
12°C
$636 Обс.
2%
13°C
$1,212 Обс.
2%
14°C
$1,677 Обс.
2%
15°C
$1,069 Обс.
3%
16°C
$887 Обс.
2%
17°C
$1,193 Обс.
97%
18°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to an overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on September 13, supported by a stable mild air mass, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions above the long-term September average low near 12°C. Strong model agreement across runs underpins the market's overwhelming consensus at 17°C. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected increase in low-level moisture could produce a 1–2°C cooler reading at the official station, though such shifts appear unlikely before midnight based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,724Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to an overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on September 13, supported by a stable mild air mass, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions above the long-term September average low near 12°C. Strong model agreement across runs underpins the market's overwhelming consensus at 17°C. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected increase in low-level moisture could produce a 1–2°C cooler reading at the official station, though such shifts appear unlikely before midnight based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,724Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models point to an overnight minimum of 17°C in Paris on September 13, supported by a stable mild air mass, light westerly winds, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions above the long-term September average low near 12°C. Strong model agreement across runs underpins the market's overwhelming consensus at 17°C. A late-arriving cold front or unexpected increase in low-level moisture could produce a 1–2°C cooler reading at the official station, though such shifts appear unlikely before midnight based on the latest guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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