Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent southwesterly flow and high pressure are positioning 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on September 14, with market-implied odds reflecting strong trader consensus around these values. Official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly cloudy skies, with limited radiational cooling due to cloud cover and warmer air advection, well above the long-term average low of roughly 12°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 16°C or 19°C. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will provide the final resolution data as the 24-hour period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 14?
Lowest temperature in London on September 14?
18°C 45%
17°C 30%
19°C 15%
16°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
13%
17°C
30%
18°C
45%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 45%
17°C 30%
19°C 15%
16°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$43 Обс.
1%
13°C
$21 Обс.
1%
14°C
$20 Обс.
1%
15°C
$99 Обс.
6%
16°C
$129 Обс.
13%
17°C
$2,290 Обс.
30%
18°C
$722 Обс.
45%
19°C
$604 Обс.
15%
20°C
$20 Обс.
2%
21°C
$43 Обс.
1%
22°C or higher
$43 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent southwesterly flow and high pressure are positioning 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on September 14, with market-implied odds reflecting strong trader consensus around these values. Official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly cloudy skies, with limited radiational cooling due to cloud cover and warmer air advection, well above the long-term average low of roughly 12°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 16°C or 19°C. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will provide the final resolution data as the 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,032Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent southwesterly flow and high pressure are positioning 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on September 14, with market-implied odds reflecting strong trader consensus around these values. Official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly cloudy skies, with limited radiational cooling due to cloud cover and warmer air advection, well above the long-term average low of roughly 12°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 16°C or 19°C. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will provide the final resolution data as the 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,032Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Mild overnight conditions driven by persistent southwesterly flow and high pressure are positioning 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on September 14, with market-implied odds reflecting strong trader consensus around these values. Official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly cloudy skies, with limited radiational cooling due to cloud cover and warmer air advection, well above the long-term average low of roughly 12°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, though minor variations in cloud timing or wind could nudge readings toward 16°C or 19°C. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will provide the final resolution data as the 24-hour period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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