Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 amid a strengthening high-pressure regime that has delivered daytime highs near 28–32°C. Trader consensus clustering on 18–19°C reflects lingering model spread over cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that will determine how much radiational cooling occurs overnight. With the warm spell persisting and sea-surface temperatures elevated, forecasters note limited scope for sharper drops unless clearer skies and calmer conditions develop. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 10?
Lowest temperature in London on August 10?
19°C 37%
18°C 25%
20°C 14%
17°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
14%
18°C
25%
19°C
37%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 37%
18°C 25%
20°C 14%
17°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
$44 Обс.
4%
14°C
$44 Обс.
4%
15°C
$18 Обс.
3%
16°C
$0 Обс.
7%
17°C
$0 Обс.
14%
18°C
$126 Обс.
25%
19°C
$23 Обс.
37%
20°C
$1 Обс.
14%
21°C
$39 Обс.
5%
22°C
$12 Обс.
1%
23°C or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 amid a strengthening high-pressure regime that has delivered daytime highs near 28–32°C. Trader consensus clustering on 18–19°C reflects lingering model spread over cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that will determine how much radiational cooling occurs overnight. With the warm spell persisting and sea-surface temperatures elevated, forecasters note limited scope for sharper drops unless clearer skies and calmer conditions develop. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$323Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 amid a strengthening high-pressure regime that has delivered daytime highs near 28–32°C. Trader consensus clustering on 18–19°C reflects lingering model spread over cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that will determine how much radiational cooling occurs overnight. With the warm spell persisting and sea-surface temperatures elevated, forecasters note limited scope for sharper drops unless clearer skies and calmer conditions develop. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$323Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 amid a strengthening high-pressure regime that has delivered daytime highs near 28–32°C. Trader consensus clustering on 18–19°C reflects lingering model spread over cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island effects that will determine how much radiational cooling occurs overnight. With the warm spell persisting and sea-surface temperatures elevated, forecasters note limited scope for sharper drops unless clearer skies and calmer conditions develop. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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