**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Houston’s overnight low on September 16 near 79°F, driving strong trader consensus on the 78-79°F bin (87.5% implied probability).** Official observations from Houston Hobby Airport and Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily minimum of 79°F amid a warm, humid air mass with highs in the mid-90s and dew points in the mid-70s. This suppressed radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, preventing the temperature from falling to the climatological average low of ~72.5°F for the date. Recent model runs and National Weather Service forecasts had consistently projected lows in the upper 70s, aligning with the observed range and leaving little room for bins below 76°F or above 80°F. The market-implied odds therefore reflect verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, with only modest probability mass on adjacent 76-77°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 16?
78-79°F 99.6%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$912 Обс.
$912 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99.6%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$912 Обс.
$912 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
71°F or below
$26 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$26 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$16 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$36 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$345 Обс.
100%
80-81°F
$314 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$149 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Houston’s overnight low on September 16 near 79°F, driving strong trader consensus on the 78-79°F bin (87.5% implied probability).**
Official observations from Houston Hobby Airport and Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily minimum of 79°F amid a warm, humid air mass with highs in the mid-90s and dew points in the mid-70s. This suppressed radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, preventing the temperature from falling to the climatological average low of ~72.5°F for the date. Recent model runs and National Weather Service forecasts had consistently projected lows in the upper 70s, aligning with the observed range and leaving little room for bins below 76°F or above 80°F. The market-implied odds therefore reflect verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, with only modest probability mass on adjacent 76-77°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$912Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Houston’s overnight low on September 16 near 79°F, driving strong trader consensus on the 78-79°F bin (87.5% implied probability).**
Official observations from Houston Hobby Airport and Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily minimum of 79°F amid a warm, humid air mass with highs in the mid-90s and dew points in the mid-70s. This suppressed radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, preventing the temperature from falling to the climatological average low of ~72.5°F for the date. Recent model runs and National Weather Service forecasts had consistently projected lows in the upper 70s, aligning with the observed range and leaving little room for bins below 76°F or above 80°F. The market-implied odds therefore reflect verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, with only modest probability mass on adjacent 76-77°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$912Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 3:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer warmth kept Houston’s overnight low on September 16 near 79°F, driving strong trader consensus on the 78-79°F bin (87.5% implied probability).** Official observations from Houston Hobby Airport and Intercontinental Airport recorded a daily minimum of 79°F amid a warm, humid air mass with highs in the mid-90s and dew points in the mid-70s. This suppressed radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds, preventing the temperature from falling to the climatological average low of ~72.5°F for the date. Recent model runs and National Weather Service forecasts had consistently projected lows in the upper 70s, aligning with the observed range and leaving little room for bins below 76°F or above 80°F. The market-implied odds therefore reflect verified station data rather than forecast uncertainty, with only modest probability mass on adjacent 76-77°F and 72-73°F outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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