Israeli military operations since March 2026 have focused on southern Lebanon, establishing a buffer zone south of the Litani River through ground advances, demolitions, and sustained airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs and select central areas. Ground forces have not entered Beirut proper amid multiple U.S.-mediated talks and partial ceasefires that prioritize Israeli withdrawal from southern positions and Lebanese Army deployment. Hezbollah drone and rocket incidents persist into late July, prompting limited Israeli responses, while official statements emphasize border security and capability degradation over capital incursions. Diplomatic timelines tied to Iran-related agreements and regional de-escalation efforts continue to shape the narrow window for any northward expansion.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsraeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$136,441 Обс.

July 31
<1%

August 31
6%
$136,441 Обс.

July 31
<1%

August 31
6%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations since March 2026 have focused on southern Lebanon, establishing a buffer zone south of the Litani River through ground advances, demolitions, and sustained airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs and select central areas. Ground forces have not entered Beirut proper amid multiple U.S.-mediated talks and partial ceasefires that prioritize Israeli withdrawal from southern positions and Lebanese Army deployment. Hezbollah drone and rocket incidents persist into late July, prompting limited Israeli responses, while official statements emphasize border security and capability degradation over capital incursions. Diplomatic timelines tied to Iran-related agreements and regional de-escalation efforts continue to shape the narrow window for any northward expansion.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання