Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Warsaw on August 21, driven by a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after an early-August heatwave. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this value, with light rain chances and variable winds potentially capping peaks at 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 23°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C over 25°C or 27°C reflect trader weighting of the upper end of model consensus and resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 48 hours could narrow uncertainty before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
26°C 36%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
23%
26°C
36%
27°C
23%
28°C or higher
5%
26°C 36%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$482 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$492 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$292 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$13 Обс.
1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
1%
23°C
$16 Обс.
3%
24°C
$0 Обс.
8%
25°C
$0 Обс.
23%
26°C
$54 Обс.
36%
27°C
$35 Обс.
23%
28°C or higher
$5 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Warsaw on August 21, driven by a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after an early-August heatwave. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this value, with light rain chances and variable winds potentially capping peaks at 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 23°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C over 25°C or 27°C reflect trader weighting of the upper end of model consensus and resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 48 hours could narrow uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,389Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Warsaw on August 21, driven by a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after an early-August heatwave. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this value, with light rain chances and variable winds potentially capping peaks at 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 23°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C over 25°C or 27°C reflect trader weighting of the upper end of model consensus and resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 48 hours could narrow uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,389Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Warsaw on August 21, driven by a southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits further warming after an early-August heatwave. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this value, with light rain chances and variable winds potentially capping peaks at 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger insolation. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 23°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C over 25°C or 27°C reflect trader weighting of the upper end of model consensus and resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings. Updated short-range forecasts expected within 48 hours could narrow uncertainty before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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