Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a coastal marine layer and strengthening sea breeze capping afternoon highs near 78°F at stations like LAX while downtown areas may reach the low-to-mid 80s, driving the 78–79°F bracket to 51.5% implied probability. This temperature gradient arises from cool, stable air advection off the Pacific that limits mixing and solar heating near the coast, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where onshore flow keeps maximums 5–10°F below inland values. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today absent a strong offshore wind shift, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined odds to the adjacent 76–77°F and 80–81°F ranges reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated observations and any evening marine-layer adjustments will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 18?
78-79°F 60%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 4%
НОВЕ
$12,552 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,552 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
60%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 60%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 4%
НОВЕ
$12,552 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,552 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$207 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$314 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$704 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$1,320 Обс.
21%
78-79°F
$3,367 Обс.
60%
80-81°F
$3,998 Обс.
19%
82-83°F
$807 Обс.
4%
84-85°F
$505 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$537 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$474 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$320 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a coastal marine layer and strengthening sea breeze capping afternoon highs near 78°F at stations like LAX while downtown areas may reach the low-to-mid 80s, driving the 78–79°F bracket to 51.5% implied probability. This temperature gradient arises from cool, stable air advection off the Pacific that limits mixing and solar heating near the coast, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where onshore flow keeps maximums 5–10°F below inland values. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today absent a strong offshore wind shift, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined odds to the adjacent 76–77°F and 80–81°F ranges reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated observations and any evening marine-layer adjustments will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,552Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a coastal marine layer and strengthening sea breeze capping afternoon highs near 78°F at stations like LAX while downtown areas may reach the low-to-mid 80s, driving the 78–79°F bracket to 51.5% implied probability. This temperature gradient arises from cool, stable air advection off the Pacific that limits mixing and solar heating near the coast, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where onshore flow keeps maximums 5–10°F below inland values. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today absent a strong offshore wind shift, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined odds to the adjacent 76–77°F and 80–81°F ranges reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated observations and any evening marine-layer adjustments will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,552Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a coastal marine layer and strengthening sea breeze capping afternoon highs near 78°F at stations like LAX while downtown areas may reach the low-to-mid 80s, driving the 78–79°F bracket to 51.5% implied probability. This temperature gradient arises from cool, stable air advection off the Pacific that limits mixing and solar heating near the coast, consistent with typical late-summer patterns where onshore flow keeps maximums 5–10°F below inland values. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today absent a strong offshore wind shift, with traders assigning roughly 40% combined odds to the adjacent 76–77°F and 80–81°F ranges reflecting residual forecast spread. Updated observations and any evening marine-layer adjustments will refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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