Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 27°C for Toronto on August 18, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest warming from seasonal baselines near 24–25°C. Model consensus favors this outcome over 28°C, as steering patterns and surface observations indicate limited additional heat advection or insolation. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 68% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with these verified projections while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 28°C scenarios that would require unforecasted shifts in timing or intensity. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data near resolution continue to anchor probabilities around this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 18?
27°C 68%
28°C 27%
26°C 5%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
68%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 68%
28°C 27%
26°C 5%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$45 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$182 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$558 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$599 Обс.
2%
26°C
$870 Обс.
5%
27°C
$2,606 Обс.
68%
28°C
$914 Обс.
27%
29°C
$677 Обс.
3%
30°C
$538 Обс.
1%
31°C
$579 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$120 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 27°C for Toronto on August 18, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest warming from seasonal baselines near 24–25°C. Model consensus favors this outcome over 28°C, as steering patterns and surface observations indicate limited additional heat advection or insolation. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 68% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with these verified projections while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 28°C scenarios that would require unforecasted shifts in timing or intensity. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data near resolution continue to anchor probabilities around this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,688Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 27°C for Toronto on August 18, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest warming from seasonal baselines near 24–25°C. Model consensus favors this outcome over 28°C, as steering patterns and surface observations indicate limited additional heat advection or insolation. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 68% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with these verified projections while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 28°C scenarios that would require unforecasted shifts in timing or intensity. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data near resolution continue to anchor probabilities around this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,688Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a sunny high of 27°C for Toronto on August 18, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions that limit cloud cover and support modest warming from seasonal baselines near 24–25°C. Model consensus favors this outcome over 28°C, as steering patterns and surface observations indicate limited additional heat advection or insolation. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 68% implied probability for 27°C, aligns with these verified projections while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 28°C scenarios that would require unforecasted shifts in timing or intensity. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data near resolution continue to anchor probabilities around this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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