Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
31°C 56%
30°C 42%
32°C 3%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
$11,136 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,136 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
42%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 42%
32°C 3%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
$11,136 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,136 Обс.
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$220 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,292 Обс.
3%
30°C
$3,869 Обс.
42%
31°C
$2,976 Обс.
56%
32°C
$1,223 Обс.
3%
33°C
$140 Обс.
1%
34°C
$53 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,093 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$119 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$119 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,136Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,136Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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