Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 17?
22°C 54%
23°C 35%
21°C 12%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
$30,630 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,630 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
54%
23°C
35%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 54%
23°C 35%
21°C 12%
24°C 4%
НОВЕ
$30,630 Обс.
НОВЕ
$30,630 Обс.
Sep 17, 2026
16°C or below
$2,681 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,147 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$147 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$851 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$2,763 Обс.
2%
21°C
$4,843 Обс.
12%
22°C
$5,260 Обс.
54%
23°C
$7,344 Обс.
35%
24°C
$3,176 Обс.
4%
25°C
$893 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,524 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,630Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,630Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Météo-France, GFS, and ECMWF models positions a daytime maximum near 22°C at Paris-Le Bourget as the most probable outcome for September 17, 2026, with trader-implied odds reflecting that alignment. Advection of cooler maritime air from the northwest, combined with persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, has limited surface heating and kept values close to the late-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Minor model differences on the timing of any breaks in cloud or light precipitation create the secondary probability on 23°C, while cooler readings would require faster or more extensive cooling than current guidance indicates. Updated model runs and official station observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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