Recent European weather model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a moderating high-pressure influence over southern Germany, supporting maximum temperatures near 25–26°C in Munich on August 20 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Convective showers or brief frontal passages could cap peaks or allow brief warming, contributing to the market’s spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical daily highs of 22–25°C, with recent early-August heat anomalies now easing. Updated model guidance on cloud cover and instability expected over the next 48 hours remains the key variable traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 20?
26°C 46%
25°C 18%
27°C 18%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
14%
25°C
18%
26°C
34%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 46%
25°C 18%
27°C 18%
24°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$215 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$81 Обс.
1%
22°C
$157 Обс.
4%
23°C
$132 Обс.
2%
24°C
$39 Обс.
14%
25°C
$73 Обс.
18%
26°C
$83 Обс.
34%
27°C
$106 Обс.
18%
28°C
$152 Обс.
4%
29°C
$151 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$345 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a moderating high-pressure influence over southern Germany, supporting maximum temperatures near 25–26°C in Munich on August 20 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Convective showers or brief frontal passages could cap peaks or allow brief warming, contributing to the market’s spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical daily highs of 22–25°C, with recent early-August heat anomalies now easing. Updated model guidance on cloud cover and instability expected over the next 48 hours remains the key variable traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,534Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a moderating high-pressure influence over southern Germany, supporting maximum temperatures near 25–26°C in Munich on August 20 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Convective showers or brief frontal passages could cap peaks or allow brief warming, contributing to the market’s spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical daily highs of 22–25°C, with recent early-August heat anomalies now easing. Updated model guidance on cloud cover and instability expected over the next 48 hours remains the key variable traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,534Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European weather model runs from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a moderating high-pressure influence over southern Germany, supporting maximum temperatures near 25–26°C in Munich on August 20 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Convective showers or brief frontal passages could cap peaks or allow brief warming, contributing to the market’s spread across 24–27°C outcomes. Historical August climatology shows typical daily highs of 22–25°C, with recent early-August heat anomalies now easing. Updated model guidance on cloud cover and instability expected over the next 48 hours remains the key variable traders are monitoring for shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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