NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 14 project a high near 100°F under sunny skies and southerly winds of 5-15 mph, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities of 56% for 98-99°F and 34% for 100-101°F. These conditions align with above-average September temperatures driven by clear skies that maximize solar insolation and a warm air mass from the south, producing heat indices near 105°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns keeping the outcome in the upper 90s to low 100s. Final NWS observations will resolve the market, though late-day adjustments remain possible.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on September 14?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 34%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 34%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts for Dallas on September 14 project a high near 100°F under sunny skies and southerly winds of 5-15 mph, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities of 56% for 98-99°F and 34% for 100-101°F. These conditions align with above-average September temperatures driven by clear skies that maximize solar insolation and a warm air mass from the south, producing heat indices near 105°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns keeping the outcome in the upper 90s to low 100s. Final NWS observations will resolve the market, though late-day adjustments remain possible.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання