Current numerical weather prediction models show a tight consensus around a 31–32°C maximum in Ankara on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving the closely matched implied probabilities of 44% and 39% for those outcomes. Ankara’s inland continental climate typically features large diurnal ranges and rapid afternoon heating in late summer, with small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of peak insolation able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent stabilization after earlier seasonal warmth has reduced outlier risks above 33°C, while official resolution will depend on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s station measurement. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 20?
32°C 50%
31°C 42%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
42%
32°C
43%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 50%
31°C 42%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$46 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$42 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$38 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$34 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$29 Обс.
3%
30°C
$149 Обс.
11%
31°C
$31 Обс.
42%
32°C
$47 Обс.
43%
33°C
$83 Обс.
11%
34°C
$12 Обс.
5%
35°C or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models show a tight consensus around a 31–32°C maximum in Ankara on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving the closely matched implied probabilities of 44% and 39% for those outcomes. Ankara’s inland continental climate typically features large diurnal ranges and rapid afternoon heating in late summer, with small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of peak insolation able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent stabilization after earlier seasonal warmth has reduced outlier risks above 33°C, while official resolution will depend on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s station measurement. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$512Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models show a tight consensus around a 31–32°C maximum in Ankara on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving the closely matched implied probabilities of 44% and 39% for those outcomes. Ankara’s inland continental climate typically features large diurnal ranges and rapid afternoon heating in late summer, with small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of peak insolation able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent stabilization after earlier seasonal warmth has reduced outlier risks above 33°C, while official resolution will depend on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s station measurement. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$512Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models show a tight consensus around a 31–32°C maximum in Ankara on August 20 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, driving the closely matched implied probabilities of 44% and 39% for those outcomes. Ankara’s inland continental climate typically features large diurnal ranges and rapid afternoon heating in late summer, with small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or timing of peak insolation able to shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Recent stabilization after earlier seasonal warmth has reduced outlier risks above 33°C, while official resolution will depend on the Turkish State Meteorological Service’s station measurement. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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