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icon for Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Економ·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

icon for Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Економ·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Sep 16

Oct 28

Dec 9

Sep 16

Oct 28

Dec 9

Pause–Pause–Pause 27%

Hike–Pause–Pause 18%

Pause–Pause–Hike 13%

Hike–Hike–Pause 11%

Polymarket

$11,653 Обс.

Pause–Pause–Pause 27%

Hike–Pause–Pause 18%

Pause–Pause–Hike 13%

Hike–Hike–Pause 11%

Polymarket

$11,653 Обс.

Hike–Pause–Hike

$314 Обс.

9%

Hike–Pause–Pause

$479 Обс.

18%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$216 Обс.

5%

Hike–Hike–Pause

$429 Обс.

11%

Pause–Pause–Hike

$253 Обс.

13%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$9,140 Обс.

27%

Pause–Hike–Hike

$237 Обс.

11%

Pause–Hike–Pause

$336 Обс.

9%

Other

$249 Обс.

8%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation readings and a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve communications are the main drivers behind the dispersed probabilities across Fed decision sequences for September through December 2026. July CPI came in at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, above the 2% target, while June projections showed nine of 19 policymakers anticipating at least one rate increase by year-end amid resilient growth and labor market data. The removal of forward guidance under Chair Kevin Warsh has heightened data dependence, with the August CPI release due September 11 serving as a key input before the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with no single path exceeding 27% as traders weigh persistent price pressures against potential softening in activity.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Обсяг
$11,653
Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation readings and a hawkish shift in Federal Reserve communications are the main drivers behind the dispersed probabilities across Fed decision sequences for September through December 2026. July CPI came in at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, above the 2% target, while June projections showed nine of 19 policymakers anticipating at least one rate increase by year-end amid resilient growth and labor market data. The removal of forward guidance under Chair Kevin Warsh has heightened data dependence, with the August CPI release due September 11 serving as a key input before the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with no single path exceeding 27% as traders weigh persistent price pressures against potential softening in activity.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Обсяг
$11,653
Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

50%
icon for What will be the next Fed rate change?

What will be the next Fed rate change?

82%
Hike
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

68%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Pause–Pause–Pause» з 27%, далі «Hike–Pause–Pause» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» згенерував $11.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 2, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» — «Pause–Pause–Pause» з 27%. Наступний — «Hike–Pause–Pause» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.