Skip to main content
icon for Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?
Політика·Тарифи Fed

Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?

icon for Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?
Політика·Тарифи Fed

Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?

3,75% 39.2%

4,0% 27.7%

4,25% 13.8%

3,5% 9.1%

Polymarket

$6,763,250 Обс.

3,75% 39.2%

4,0% 27.7%

4,25% 13.8%

3,5% 9.1%

Polymarket

$6,763,250 Обс.

≤1,0%

$245,788 Обс.

<1%

1,25

$142,884 Обс.

1%

1,5%

$146,382 Обс.

<1%

1,75%

$148,184 Обс.

<1%

2,0%

$263,482 Обс.

<1%

2,25%

$87,683 Обс.

<1%

2,5%

$172,965 Обс.

1%

2,75%

$61,131 Обс.

1%

3,0%

$488,831 Обс.

1%

3,25%

$66,074 Обс.

2%

3,5%

$202,486 Обс.

9%

3,75%

$531,856 Обс.

39%

4,0%

$1,369,329 Обс.

28%

4,25%

$428,209 Обс.

14%

≥ 4,5%

$2,407,967 Обс.

5%

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).The current federal funds target range of 3.50–3.75% has held steady through multiple 2026 FOMC meetings, with the July decision featuring three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike amid reaccelerating inflation pressures. Headline CPI near 3.4% year-over-year and core readings above the 2% goal, partly tied to energy supply shocks, have shifted trader focus toward a possible pause or modest tightening rather than further easing. June SEP projections showed dispersion, with several participants seeing the appropriate year-end rate at or above 3.75–4.00%, while labor market data—unemployment near 4.1% and steady job gains—support holding policy restrictive. These factors position 3.75% and 4.00% as the leading outcomes by year-end, reflecting the market's assessment of inflation persistence versus growth resilience in the remaining meetings.

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.

This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.

The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Обсяг
$6,763,250
Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).The current federal funds target range of 3.50–3.75% has held steady through multiple 2026 FOMC meetings, with the July decision featuring three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike amid reaccelerating inflation pressures. Headline CPI near 3.4% year-over-year and core readings above the 2% goal, partly tied to energy supply shocks, have shifted trader focus toward a possible pause or modest tightening rather than further easing. June SEP projections showed dispersion, with several participants seeing the appropriate year-end rate at or above 3.75–4.00%, while labor market data—unemployment near 4.1% and steady job gains—support holding policy restrictive. These factors position 3.75% and 4.00% as the leading outcomes by year-end, reflecting the market's assessment of inflation persistence versus growth resilience in the remaining meetings.

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.

This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.

The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Обсяг
$6,763,250
Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Пов'язане

icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

68%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

72%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

72%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «3,75%» з 39%, далі «4,0%» з 28%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?» згенерував $6.8 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 12, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?» — «3,75%» з 39%. Наступний — «4,0%» з 28%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Якою буде ставка ФРС наприкінці 2026 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.