Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоФлавіо Болсонару 90%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.8%
Ренан Сантос 1.4%
Augusto Cury <1%
$6,517,772 Обс.
$6,517,772 Обс.
Oct 3, 2026
Флавіо Болсонару
90%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва
8%
Ренан Сантос
1%
Augusto Cury
1%
Ромеу Земі
<1%
Едуарду Болсонару
<1%
Алду Ребелу
<1%
Мішель Болсонару
<1%
Роналду Каяду
<1%
Жералду Алкмін
<1%
Камілу Сантана
<1%
Фернандо Хаддад
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Тарсіо де Фрейтас
<1%
Жаїр Болсонару
<1%
Ратінью Жуніор
<1%
Едуарду Лейте
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Флавіо Болсонару 90%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 7.8%
Ренан Сантос 1.4%
Augusto Cury <1%
$6,517,772 Обс.
$6,517,772 Обс.
Oct 3, 2026
Флавіо Болсонару
$610,572 Обс.
90%
Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва
$473,469 Обс.
8%
Ренан Сантос
$1,242,613 Обс.
1%
Augusto Cury
$143,331 Обс.
1%
Ромеу Земі
$380,609 Обс.
<1%
Едуарду Болсонару
$173,943 Обс.
<1%
Алду Ребелу
$144,040 Обс.
<1%
Мішель Болсонару
$219,348 Обс.
<1%
Роналду Каяду
$453,391 Обс.
<1%
Жералду Алкмін
$229,171 Обс.
<1%
Камілу Сантана
$207,849 Обс.
<1%
Фернандо Хаддад
$810,518 Обс.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$20,972 Обс.
<1%
Тарсіо де Фрейтас
$274,555 Обс.
<1%
Жаїр Болсонару
$205,331 Обс.
<1%
Ратінью Жуніор
$750,154 Обс.
<1%
Едуарду Лейте
$142,390 Обс.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$35,519 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,517,772Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$6,517,772Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and other firms shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions at 37-38 percent, with Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) in a clear second at 29-33 percent and all other candidates in single digits. This ordering has held through the campaign launch and party conventions in July and August, as right-leaning voters have consolidated behind the senator following Jair Bolsonaro’s ineligibility. Augusto Cury has risen to third in some surveys but remains well behind. The gap between the top two has narrowed modestly, yet the structure of support continues to favor Flávio Bolsonaro for second place in the October 4 first round.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53%
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
90%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
88%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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