Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArizona Attorney General Election Winner

Kris Mayes (D)
64%

Warren Petersen (R)
34%

Kris Mayes (D)
64%

Warren Petersen (R)
34%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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