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icon for Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
Politika·Iran

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

icon for Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
Politika·Iran

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

19% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
19% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's 62% implied probability against passing at least $20 billion in supplemental war funding by September 30 reflects the stalled status of the Trump administration's June 2026 request for $87.6 billion, primarily to cover Iran war costs including munitions replenishment and operations. Bipartisan resistance has persisted, with Democrats citing opposition to the conflict and concerns over unrelated provisions, while a continuing resolution enacted in early September funds the government through December without including the supplemental. With Congress focused on averting a shutdown and limited legislative days remaining before the deadline, traders see insufficient momentum for standalone passage amid divided priorities and procedural hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$953
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's 62% implied probability against passing at least $20 billion in supplemental war funding by September 30 reflects the stalled status of the Trump administration's June 2026 request for $87.6 billion, primarily to cover Iran war costs including munitions replenishment and operations. Bipartisan resistance has persisted, with Democrats citing opposition to the conflict and concerns over unrelated provisions, while a continuing resolution enacted in early September funds the government through December without including the supplemental. With Congress focused on averting a shutdown and limited legislative days remaining before the deadline, traders see insufficient momentum for standalone passage amid divided priorities and procedural hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$953
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 38% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 38¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 38% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 26, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" ay 38% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 38% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.