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Politika·Bahay Ng Mga Kinatawan

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Politika·Bahay Ng Mga Kinatawan

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 76%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 8.8%

Jim Jordan 5.2%

Polymarket
BAGO

Hakeem Jeffries 76%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 8.8%

Jim Jordan 5.2%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$2,080 Vol.

76%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$96 Vol.

10%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$78 Vol.

2%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$113 Vol.

5%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$83 Vol.

5%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$124 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democrats hold a consistent national generic ballot advantage of roughly six points in recent polling, aligning with historical midterm patterns against the president's party and supporting strong trader expectations for a House majority flip. Multiple forecasts, including Cook Political Report ratings and independent models, project Democrats needing only modest net gains to reach the 218-seat threshold, positioning House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries as the presumptive Speaker under that scenario. Republican alternatives such as Mike Johnson, Jim Jordan, and Steve Scalise reflect limited confidence in GOP retention amid redistricting battles and turnout dynamics. Democratic leadership figures like Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar appear as secondary options tied to internal caucus succession if the majority changes hands. These probabilities embed the wisdom of crowds assessing the narrow current GOP edge and scheduled November 2026 contests.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,574
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 3, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democrats hold a consistent national generic ballot advantage of roughly six points in recent polling, aligning with historical midterm patterns against the president's party and supporting strong trader expectations for a House majority flip. Multiple forecasts, including Cook Political Report ratings and independent models, project Democrats needing only modest net gains to reach the 218-seat threshold, positioning House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries as the presumptive Speaker under that scenario. Republican alternatives such as Mike Johnson, Jim Jordan, and Steve Scalise reflect limited confidence in GOP retention amid redistricting battles and turnout dynamics. Democratic leadership figures like Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar appear as secondary options tied to internal caucus succession if the majority changes hands. These probabilities embed the wisdom of crowds assessing the narrow current GOP edge and scheduled November 2026 contests.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,574
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 3, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

2%
icon for Makokontrol ba ng Democratic Party ang Kapulungan pagkatapos ng 2026 Midterm elections?

Makokontrol ba ng Democratic Party ang Kapulungan pagkatapos ng 2026 Midterm elections?

88%
Oo
icon for Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

27%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Hakeem Jeffries" sa 76%, sinusundan ng "Katherine Clark" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 76¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 76% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 8, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Speaker of the House after the midterms?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay "Hakeem Jeffries" sa 76%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 76% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Katherine Clark" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.