Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

$16,110 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$16,110 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,038 Vol.

5%

December 31

$12,787 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**House Republicans advanced a July 22 budget resolution (H.Con.Res.113) that instructs committees to submit reconciliation recommendations by September 11, 2026, targeting defense funding, agriculture aid, and implementation of election-related measures.** This follows the June passage of Reconciliation 2.0, a roughly $70 billion package for immigration enforcement signed into law. Internal divisions persist, with fiscal conservatives demanding dollar-for-dollar offsets and others prioritizing spending priorities amid White House calls for substantial defense increases. Senate Republicans have signaled reluctance to advance the blueprint before the November midterms due to limited floor time and concerns over exposing members to difficult votes. A recent continuing resolution extending funding through December 11 avoided an immediate shutdown but did not resolve the reconciliation path. Trader sentiment reflects these procedural hurdles and narrow majorities in both chambers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,110
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**House Republicans advanced a July 22 budget resolution (H.Con.Res.113) that instructs committees to submit reconciliation recommendations by September 11, 2026, targeting defense funding, agriculture aid, and implementation of election-related measures.** This follows the June passage of Reconciliation 2.0, a roughly $70 billion package for immigration enforcement signed into law. Internal divisions persist, with fiscal conservatives demanding dollar-for-dollar offsets and others prioritizing spending priorities amid White House calls for substantial defense increases. Senate Republicans have signaled reluctance to advance the blueprint before the November midterms due to limited floor time and concerns over exposing members to difficult votes. A recent continuing resolution extending funding through December 11 avoided an immediate shutdown but did not resolve the reconciliation path. Trader sentiment reflects these procedural hurdles and narrow majorities in both chambers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,110
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31" sa 24%, sinusundan ng "September 30" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 24¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay naka-generate ng $16.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay "December 31" sa 24%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "September 30" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.