**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain have kept overnight temperatures elevated across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 30, 2026, supporting the market's strong 97% implied probability for a 24°C daily minimum.** Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration (via Incheon airport observations), Met Office, and multiple models consistently project the overnight low near 23–24°C, with hourly readings rarely dipping below this range amid overcast skies and 90–100% humidity. Rain and thunderstorms through the evening and night limit radiative cooling, a common late-August pattern in the region during the tail end of the monsoon-influenced season. This consensus aligns with historical climatology for the period, where minimums typically range 22–25°C under similar conditions. A lower reading (e.g., 22°C or below) would require unexpected clearing skies or stronger northerly winds to enhance cooling, but current model runs and real-time observations show little support for such a shift before the daily minimum is recorded. Traders appear to be pricing in the high-confidence forecast consensus backed by multiple authoritative sources.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
24°C 98%
23°C 2%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,447 Vol.
$13,447 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 2%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,447 Vol.
$13,447 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread rain have kept overnight temperatures elevated across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 30, 2026, supporting the market's strong 97% implied probability for a 24°C daily minimum.** Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration (via Incheon airport observations), Met Office, and multiple models consistently project the overnight low near 23–24°C, with hourly readings rarely dipping below this range amid overcast skies and 90–100% humidity. Rain and thunderstorms through the evening and night limit radiative cooling, a common late-August pattern in the region during the tail end of the monsoon-influenced season. This consensus aligns with historical climatology for the period, where minimums typically range 22–25°C under similar conditions. A lower reading (e.g., 22°C or below) would require unexpected clearing skies or stronger northerly winds to enhance cooling, but current model runs and real-time observations show little support for such a shift before the daily minimum is recorded. Traders appear to be pricing in the high-confidence forecast consensus backed by multiple authoritative sources.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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