Recent Chongqing Meteorological Bureau forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate overnight lows of 22–24°C on August 31 after recent heavy rainfall, with clearing skies enabling moderate radiative cooling under light northerly winds and dew points near 20–22°C. Persistent humidity from the preceding wet period and the transition from overcast to mostly sunny conditions have anchored trader consensus around these values, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 23°C. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical minima near 24–26°C, but the recent cooling episode has shifted expectations downward. New station observations and updated model guidance overnight will provide the final data for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 31?
19°C 45%
23°C 37%
24°C 28%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
45%
20°C
21%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
28%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
19°C 45%
23°C 37%
24°C 28%
22°C 27%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
45%
20°C
21%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
28%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Chongqing Meteorological Bureau forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate overnight lows of 22–24°C on August 31 after recent heavy rainfall, with clearing skies enabling moderate radiative cooling under light northerly winds and dew points near 20–22°C. Persistent humidity from the preceding wet period and the transition from overcast to mostly sunny conditions have anchored trader consensus around these values, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 23°C. Historical late-August climatology for the region shows typical minima near 24–26°C, but the recent cooling episode has shifted expectations downward. New station observations and updated model guidance overnight will provide the final data for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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