Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds overnight on September 13, promoting strong radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum to 12°C or below. This aligns with observed trends of falling temperatures into the low teens Celsius after daytime highs near 32–33°C, consistent with early-autumn patterns where dry air and high pressure enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus on these conditions, supported by converging model runs showing limited cloud cover or wind to moderate cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from unexpected increases in humidity, cloudiness, or localized urban heat effects at the primary reporting station that keep the minimum above 12°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,523 Vol.
$2,523 Vol.
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,523 Vol.
$2,523 Vol.
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds overnight on September 13, promoting strong radiative cooling that drives the daily minimum to 12°C or below. This aligns with observed trends of falling temperatures into the low teens Celsius after daytime highs near 32–33°C, consistent with early-autumn patterns where dry air and high pressure enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Market-implied odds reflect near-certain trader consensus on these conditions, supported by converging model runs showing limited cloud cover or wind to moderate cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from unexpected increases in humidity, cloudiness, or localized urban heat effects at the primary reporting station that keep the minimum above 12°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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