Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a warming trend into the August 8–9 weekend, with high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon maxima near 33–34°C in central Paris. This places the market-implied odds on 33°C (31%) and 34°C (37.5%) in close contest, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise peak driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day cloud development. Climatologically, early-August highs average 24–26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution on measured observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?
34°C 38%
33°C 30%
35°C 15%
32°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
30%
34°C
38%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 30%
35°C 15%
32°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$80 Vol.
4%
32°C
$226 Vol.
14%
33°C
$212 Vol.
30%
34°C
$289 Vol.
38%
35°C
$64 Vol.
15%
36°C
$35 Vol.
2%
37°C
$42 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$66 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a warming trend into the August 8–9 weekend, with high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon maxima near 33–34°C in central Paris. This places the market-implied odds on 33°C (31%) and 34°C (37.5%) in close contest, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise peak driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day cloud development. Climatologically, early-August highs average 24–26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution on measured observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,845Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a warming trend into the August 8–9 weekend, with high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon maxima near 33–34°C in central Paris. This places the market-implied odds on 33°C (31%) and 34°C (37.5%) in close contest, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise peak driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day cloud development. Climatologically, early-August highs average 24–26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution on measured observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,845Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance indicate a warming trend into the August 8–9 weekend, with high pressure promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation that supports afternoon maxima near 33–34°C in central Paris. This places the market-implied odds on 33°C (31%) and 34°C (37.5%) in close contest, reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise peak driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day cloud development. Climatologically, early-August highs average 24–26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service equivalents over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution on measured observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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