Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 9 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of rain later, supporting overnight lows near 23–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and the urban heat island effect in Tokyo. These conditions align with climatological baselines where minimum temperatures average around 24–25°C, though model runs show some spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 26°C and 29% for 25°C incorporates this near-term guidance, with lower odds on 24°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential absent stronger frontal systems. Updated model outputs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
24°C 5%
27°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
28%
26°C
47%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
24°C 5%
27°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$111 Vol.
1%
23°C
$69 Vol.
3%
24°C
$99 Vol.
5%
25°C
$158 Vol.
28%
26°C
$147 Vol.
47%
27°C
$141 Vol.
4%
28°C
$23 Vol.
4%
29°C
$111 Vol.
1%
30°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 9 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of rain later, supporting overnight lows near 23–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and the urban heat island effect in Tokyo. These conditions align with climatological baselines where minimum temperatures average around 24–25°C, though model runs show some spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 26°C and 29% for 25°C incorporates this near-term guidance, with lower odds on 24°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential absent stronger frontal systems. Updated model outputs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,145Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 9 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of rain later, supporting overnight lows near 23–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and the urban heat island effect in Tokyo. These conditions align with climatological baselines where minimum temperatures average around 24–25°C, though model runs show some spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 26°C and 29% for 25°C incorporates this near-term guidance, with lower odds on 24°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential absent stronger frontal systems. Updated model outputs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,145Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 9 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of rain later, supporting overnight lows near 23–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and the urban heat island effect in Tokyo. These conditions align with climatological baselines where minimum temperatures average around 24–25°C, though model runs show some spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 26°C and 29% for 25°C incorporates this near-term guidance, with lower odds on 24°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential absent stronger frontal systems. Updated model outputs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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