The approaching cold front, supported by a steep upper-air trough and strong ridging high-pressure system south of South Africa, is the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering at 13–14°C for Cape Town’s August 9 maximum. This system is forecast to deliver cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, showers, and stronger winds starting around August 9, limiting daytime heating relative to the typical 17°C August average. The Benguela Current further moderates temperatures, while model consensus on front timing and intensity creates the tight spread between leading outcomes. Traders are weighting official guidance from the South African Weather Service on how much cooling occurs before any post-frontal recovery.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 9?
14°C 36%
13°C 28%
15°C 15%
12°C 13%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
36%
15°C
15%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 36%
13°C 28%
15°C 15%
12°C 13%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
28%
14°C
36%
15°C
15%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The approaching cold front, supported by a steep upper-air trough and strong ridging high-pressure system south of South Africa, is the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering at 13–14°C for Cape Town’s August 9 maximum. This system is forecast to deliver cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, showers, and stronger winds starting around August 9, limiting daytime heating relative to the typical 17°C August average. The Benguela Current further moderates temperatures, while model consensus on front timing and intensity creates the tight spread between leading outcomes. Traders are weighting official guidance from the South African Weather Service on how much cooling occurs before any post-frontal recovery.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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