Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AEMET points to a Madrid maximum near 38°C on August 7 under clear skies, weak winds, and persistent subtropical ridge influence advecting warm air from North Africa. This tight clustering between 38–39°C, with minimal spread in ensemble runs, drives the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes over lower or higher bins. Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dry conditions typical of August heatwave patterns support modest intensification above the long-term mean of roughly 32–33°C, while limited moisture reduces evaporative cooling. Any late-day convective development or measurement station variance remains the chief uncertainty before official resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
38°C 51%
39°C 45%
37°C 6%
40°C 4%
BAGO
$12,140 Vol.
BAGO
$12,140 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
51%
39°C
45%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 51%
39°C 45%
37°C 6%
40°C 4%
BAGO
$12,140 Vol.
BAGO
$12,140 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
$519 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,105 Vol.
6%
38°C
$3,479 Vol.
51%
39°C
$2,733 Vol.
45%
40°C
$742 Vol.
4%
41°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AEMET points to a Madrid maximum near 38°C on August 7 under clear skies, weak winds, and persistent subtropical ridge influence advecting warm air from North Africa. This tight clustering between 38–39°C, with minimal spread in ensemble runs, drives the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes over lower or higher bins. Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dry conditions typical of August heatwave patterns support modest intensification above the long-term mean of roughly 32–33°C, while limited moisture reduces evaporative cooling. Any late-day convective development or measurement station variance remains the chief uncertainty before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,140Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AEMET points to a Madrid maximum near 38°C on August 7 under clear skies, weak winds, and persistent subtropical ridge influence advecting warm air from North Africa. This tight clustering between 38–39°C, with minimal spread in ensemble runs, drives the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes over lower or higher bins. Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dry conditions typical of August heatwave patterns support modest intensification above the long-term mean of roughly 32–33°C, while limited moisture reduces evaporative cooling. Any late-day convective development or measurement station variance remains the chief uncertainty before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,140Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AEMET points to a Madrid maximum near 38°C on August 7 under clear skies, weak winds, and persistent subtropical ridge influence advecting warm air from North Africa. This tight clustering between 38–39°C, with minimal spread in ensemble runs, drives the near-even market split favoring those two outcomes over lower or higher bins. Above-average 850 hPa temperatures and dry conditions typical of August heatwave patterns support modest intensification above the long-term mean of roughly 32–33°C, while limited moisture reduces evaporative cooling. Any late-day convective development or measurement station variance remains the chief uncertainty before official resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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