Official forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, following a period of southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and recent snow warnings at higher elevations. This aligns with mid-winter conditions where the climatological August average high is 12–13°C, but transient cold outbreaks and limited solar insolation can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect consensus on partial clearing and light winds allowing modest daytime warming without significant northerly advection or frontal lifting that could reach 12°C or higher. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
11°C 48%
10°C 37%
12°C 16%
9°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
37%
11°C
48%
12°C
16%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 48%
10°C 37%
12°C 16%
9°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$716 Vol.
3%
10°C
$712 Vol.
37%
11°C
$1,909 Vol.
48%
12°C
$1,528 Vol.
16%
13°C
$590 Vol.
2%
14°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, following a period of southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and recent snow warnings at higher elevations. This aligns with mid-winter conditions where the climatological August average high is 12–13°C, but transient cold outbreaks and limited solar insolation can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect consensus on partial clearing and light winds allowing modest daytime warming without significant northerly advection or frontal lifting that could reach 12°C or higher. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,388Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, following a period of southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and recent snow warnings at higher elevations. This aligns with mid-winter conditions where the climatological August average high is 12–13°C, but transient cold outbreaks and limited solar insolation can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect consensus on partial clearing and light winds allowing modest daytime warming without significant northerly advection or frontal lifting that could reach 12°C or higher. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,388Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and other models indicate a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, following a period of southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air and recent snow warnings at higher elevations. This aligns with mid-winter conditions where the climatological August average high is 12–13°C, but transient cold outbreaks and limited solar insolation can suppress readings by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect consensus on partial clearing and light winds allowing modest daytime warming without significant northerly advection or frontal lifting that could reach 12°C or higher. Updated model runs and any shifts in high-pressure positioning over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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