Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts position 27–29°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 5 high, reflecting a post-heatwave stabilization under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that limits further warming. After June–July 2026 extremes exceeding 35–40°C across northern France, current model runs show daytime maxima settling near the 1991–2020 August climatological average of 24–26°C, with limited diurnal amplification expected from partly cloudy skies and modest Atlantic moisture. The tight clustering around 28°C (43% implied probability) captures both the baseline seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European guidance this time of year; only a stronger ridge or unexpected clear-sky radiative heating would push probabilities toward 30°C or higher before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 5?
28°C 43%
29°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
43%
29°C
29%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 29%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$334 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$69 Vol.
1%
26°C
$126 Vol.
3%
27°C
$364 Vol.
19%
28°C
$717 Vol.
43%
29°C
$339 Vol.
29%
30°C
$165 Vol.
9%
31°C
$218 Vol.
3%
32°C
$446 Vol.
2%
33°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts position 27–29°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 5 high, reflecting a post-heatwave stabilization under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that limits further warming. After June–July 2026 extremes exceeding 35–40°C across northern France, current model runs show daytime maxima settling near the 1991–2020 August climatological average of 24–26°C, with limited diurnal amplification expected from partly cloudy skies and modest Atlantic moisture. The tight clustering around 28°C (43% implied probability) captures both the baseline seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European guidance this time of year; only a stronger ridge or unexpected clear-sky radiative heating would push probabilities toward 30°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,143Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts position 27–29°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 5 high, reflecting a post-heatwave stabilization under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that limits further warming. After June–July 2026 extremes exceeding 35–40°C across northern France, current model runs show daytime maxima settling near the 1991–2020 August climatological average of 24–26°C, with limited diurnal amplification expected from partly cloudy skies and modest Atlantic moisture. The tight clustering around 28°C (43% implied probability) captures both the baseline seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European guidance this time of year; only a stronger ridge or unexpected clear-sky radiative heating would push probabilities toward 30°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,143Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts position 27–29°C as the leading outcomes for Paris’s August 5 high, reflecting a post-heatwave stabilization under moderate high pressure and northwesterly flow that limits further warming. After June–July 2026 extremes exceeding 35–40°C across northern France, current model runs show daytime maxima settling near the 1991–2020 August climatological average of 24–26°C, with limited diurnal amplification expected from partly cloudy skies and modest Atlantic moisture. The tight clustering around 28°C (43% implied probability) captures both the baseline seasonal signal and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European guidance this time of year; only a stronger ridge or unexpected clear-sky radiative heating would push probabilities toward 30°C or higher before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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