**Persistent heatwave conditions and warm air masses are elevating overnight lows in Paris, positioning 19–21°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for August 5.** Recent forecasts indicate the city will experience another episode of elevated nighttime readings, with some models projecting lows near or above 20–22°C amid continued southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (46.5%) and 19°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate official guidance from Météo-France showing “tropical night” criteria (minimums ≥20°C) persisting into early August following multiple heat episodes. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but the current anomaly—driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and urban heat retention—has shifted the distribution upward, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 18°C unless a faster-moving Atlantic front arrives sooner than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 47%
19°C 24%
18°C 16%
21°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
47%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 24%
18°C 16%
21°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$59 Vol.
1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
6%
18°C
$58 Vol.
16%
19°C
$44 Vol.
24%
20°C
$256 Vol.
47%
21°C
$44 Vol.
13%
22°C
$44 Vol.
5%
23°C
$131 Vol.
3%
24°C
$132 Vol.
1%
25°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heatwave conditions and warm air masses are elevating overnight lows in Paris, positioning 19–21°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for August 5.** Recent forecasts indicate the city will experience another episode of elevated nighttime readings, with some models projecting lows near or above 20–22°C amid continued southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (46.5%) and 19°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate official guidance from Météo-France showing “tropical night” criteria (minimums ≥20°C) persisting into early August following multiple heat episodes. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but the current anomaly—driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and urban heat retention—has shifted the distribution upward, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 18°C unless a faster-moving Atlantic front arrives sooner than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$854Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heatwave conditions and warm air masses are elevating overnight lows in Paris, positioning 19–21°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for August 5.** Recent forecasts indicate the city will experience another episode of elevated nighttime readings, with some models projecting lows near or above 20–22°C amid continued southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (46.5%) and 19°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate official guidance from Météo-France showing “tropical night” criteria (minimums ≥20°C) persisting into early August following multiple heat episodes. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but the current anomaly—driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and urban heat retention—has shifted the distribution upward, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 18°C unless a faster-moving Atlantic front arrives sooner than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$854Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heatwave conditions and warm air masses are elevating overnight lows in Paris, positioning 19–21°C as the most probable minimum temperatures for August 5.** Recent forecasts indicate the city will experience another episode of elevated nighttime readings, with some models projecting lows near or above 20–22°C amid continued southerly flow and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C (46.5%) and 19°C (23.5%), as traders incorporate official guidance from Météo-France showing “tropical night” criteria (minimums ≥20°C) persisting into early August following multiple heat episodes. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but the current anomaly—driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and urban heat retention—has shifted the distribution upward, reducing the likelihood of readings at or below 18°C unless a faster-moving Atlantic front arrives sooner than expected. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any further probability shifts ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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