Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 5?
Lowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
49%
19°C
33%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$528 Vol.
1%
15°C
$421 Vol.
1%
16°C
$239 Vol.
4%
17°C
$490 Vol.
15%
18°C
$1,684 Vol.
49%
19°C
$1,499 Vol.
33%
20°C
$164 Vol.
6%
21°C
$226 Vol.
1%
22°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,987Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,987Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts point to mild overnight conditions across southeast England on August 4–5, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–18 °C under lingering high pressure and above-average warmth that has characterized much of summer 2026. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept nighttime radiative cooling modest, pushing implied probabilities toward 18 °C or 19 °C as the most likely daily low in London. Traders weigh these model consensus runs against typical August climatology (average low around 13 °C) and note that any increase in wind or incoming fronts could drop readings toward 17 °C or below. Updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the final distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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