Recent forecasts from models like those used by NOAA and European agencies indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following observed readings of 30.7°C on August 2 amid a regional ridge of high pressure. This setup favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Traders weigh subtle differences in ensemble spreads—such as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings at official stations, and potential for brief showers that could cap the maximum—creating tight probabilities between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak settles at or above 30°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 17%
27°C 6%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 31%
30°C 27%
28°C 17%
27°C 6%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
31%
30°C
27%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those used by NOAA and European agencies indicate Moscow's August 6 high will likely peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following observed readings of 30.7°C on August 2 amid a regional ridge of high pressure. This setup favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Traders weigh subtle differences in ensemble spreads—such as slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings at official stations, and potential for brief showers that could cap the maximum—creating tight probabilities between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether the peak settles at or above 30°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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