Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to Shanghai's August 7 maximum near 33–34 °C, with the tight market split between these outcomes reflecting minor differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Typical East Asian summer conditions—high dew points near 26 °C, light southerly flow, and urban heat-island amplification—support radiative heating to these levels, while scattered showers or increased low-level moisture could cap the peak one degree lower. Historical August averages of 31–32 °C and recent days reaching 35 °C underscore the role of short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing in determining the final reading, with updated model runs expected to clarify resolution criteria before market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
34°C 43%
33°C 39%
35°C 12%
32°C 8%
$16,544 Vol.
$16,544 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
39%
34°C
43%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 39%
35°C 12%
32°C 8%
$16,544 Vol.
$16,544 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
39%
34°C
43%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to Shanghai's August 7 maximum near 33–34 °C, with the tight market split between these outcomes reflecting minor differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Typical East Asian summer conditions—high dew points near 26 °C, light southerly flow, and urban heat-island amplification—support radiative heating to these levels, while scattered showers or increased low-level moisture could cap the peak one degree lower. Historical August averages of 31–32 °C and recent days reaching 35 °C underscore the role of short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing in determining the final reading, with updated model runs expected to clarify resolution criteria before market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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