**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes. New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 31?
25°C 63%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 63%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$98 Vol.
1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$155 Vol.
3%
24°C
$179 Vol.
21%
25°C
$1,488 Vol.
63%
26°C
$442 Vol.
13%
27°C
$571 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$569 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes.
New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,593Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C.
Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes.
New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,593Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 24°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, with morning showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–20 km/h.** This setup limits peak heating compared to Sunday’s 26–27°C under clearer conditions, aligning with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 25°C and 21% for 24°C, incorporates the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range forecasts, where small shifts in cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength can add or subtract 1–2°C. Historical records show August 31 highs ranging from 11.5°C to 32.6°C, but recent model runs and observed cooling trends after a warmer period support the market’s emphasis on the 24–25°C band over higher or lower outcomes. New observational data or updated model runs from agencies like DWD or ECMWF over the next 12–24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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