Recent official forecasts and numerical weather models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 24 driven by westerly flow and increased cloud cover with scattered showers, limiting daytime heating. High temperatures are projected in the 18–21°C range, with many guidance products clustering near 19–20°C amid moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph and dew points around 12–14°C that suppress further warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the typical late-August climatology where average highs reach about 21°C but recent upstream disturbances have introduced variability. Updated model runs and Russian Hydrometeorological Center briefings expected overnight remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
18°C 9%
21°C 9%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 35%
18°C 9%
21°C 9%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
35%
20°C
46%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and numerical weather models, including runs from GFS and ECMWF, indicate Moscow will experience a cooling trend on August 24 driven by westerly flow and increased cloud cover with scattered showers, limiting daytime heating. High temperatures are projected in the 18–21°C range, with many guidance products clustering near 19–20°C amid moderate southwest winds of 10–15 mph and dew points around 12–14°C that suppress further warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 19–20°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and the typical late-August climatology where average highs reach about 21°C but recent upstream disturbances have introduced variability. Updated model runs and Russian Hydrometeorological Center briefings expected overnight remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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