Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's daytime maximum on August 23 will likely reach 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This positions 23°C as the leading market outcome, reflecting model consensus on moderate conditions without anomalous warming from high-pressure systems or clear skies. Historical August averages near 19–21°C provide context, while current observational trends and ensemble runs show limited upside potential beyond 24°C due to persistent cloud cover and regional airflow patterns. Updated guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning over 90% combined probability to 22–23°C as resolution approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
23°C 61%
22°C 28%
24°C 8%
21°C 3%
$10,089 Vol.
$10,089 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
61%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 61%
22°C 28%
24°C 8%
21°C 3%
$10,089 Vol.
$10,089 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
61%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting models indicate Moscow's daytime maximum on August 23 will likely reach 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This positions 23°C as the leading market outcome, reflecting model consensus on moderate conditions without anomalous warming from high-pressure systems or clear skies. Historical August averages near 19–21°C provide context, while current observational trends and ensemble runs show limited upside potential beyond 24°C due to persistent cloud cover and regional airflow patterns. Updated guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, with traders assigning over 90% combined probability to 22–23°C as resolution approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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