Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, which caps daytime heating, combined with typical late-August convective cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar insolation. Historical August highs average 23–24 °C, and recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability. Traders have priced 25 °C as the clear mode (53 % implied probability) because it aligns with the central tendency of authoritative guidance, while the 26 °C-or-higher bucket (23.5 %) captures upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief additional warming before storms develop.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 53%
26°C or higher 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
22%
25°C
53%
26°C or higher
24%
25°C 53%
26°C or higher 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
22%
25°C
53%
26°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 30, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, which caps daytime heating, combined with typical late-August convective cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar insolation. Historical August highs average 23–24 °C, and recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability. Traders have priced 25 °C as the clear mode (53 % implied probability) because it aligns with the central tendency of authoritative guidance, while the 26 °C-or-higher bucket (23.5 %) captures upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief additional warming before storms develop.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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