Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby tropical depression east of Luzon, continues to drive widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting surface heating on August 31. Official PAGASA guidance projects a daily maximum of 28°C amid 80% rain probability, while global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate potential afternoon peaks of 30–32°C if breaks in cloudiness allow brief insolation. High humidity near 80–90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further modulate the diurnal temperature range. These competing signals—monsoon suppression versus intermittent clearing—create the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity through the afternoon.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 31?
31°C 39%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
39%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$162 Vol.
1%
28°C
$46 Vol.
2%
29°C
$54 Vol.
5%
30°C
$471 Vol.
13%
31°C
$647 Vol.
39%
32°C
$756 Vol.
37%
33°C
$222 Vol.
6%
34°C
$2 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby tropical depression east of Luzon, continues to drive widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting surface heating on August 31. Official PAGASA guidance projects a daily maximum of 28°C amid 80% rain probability, while global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate potential afternoon peaks of 30–32°C if breaks in cloudiness allow brief insolation. High humidity near 80–90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further modulate the diurnal temperature range. These competing signals—monsoon suppression versus intermittent clearing—create the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,009Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby tropical depression east of Luzon, continues to drive widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting surface heating on August 31. Official PAGASA guidance projects a daily maximum of 28°C amid 80% rain probability, while global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate potential afternoon peaks of 30–32°C if breaks in cloudiness allow brief insolation. High humidity near 80–90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further modulate the diurnal temperature range. These competing signals—monsoon suppression versus intermittent clearing—create the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,009Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a nearby tropical depression east of Luzon, continues to drive widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting surface heating on August 31. Official PAGASA guidance projects a daily maximum of 28°C amid 80% rain probability, while global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate potential afternoon peaks of 30–32°C if breaks in cloudiness allow brief insolation. High humidity near 80–90% and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds further modulate the diurnal temperature range. These competing signals—monsoon suppression versus intermittent clearing—create the tight market split between 31°C and 32°C, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity through the afternoon.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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