Latest model consensus from global and regional forecasts drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32 °C for Beijing’s August 18 maximum, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and any scattered showers. Seasonal norms place mid-August highs near 30–32 °C, with current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture supporting limited further warming or cooling. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 30 °C and 33 °C outcomes within reach. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in urban heat-island effects and rapid diurnal swings typical for the North China Plain ahead of official confirmation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on August 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 18?
31°C 36%
32°C 31%
33°C 15%
30°C 14%
BAGO
$18,411 Vol.
BAGO
$18,411 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
36%
32°C
31%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 31%
33°C 15%
30°C 14%
BAGO
$18,411 Vol.
BAGO
$18,411 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$3,527 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,292 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,896 Vol.
1%
29°C
$870 Vol.
5%
30°C
$2,436 Vol.
14%
31°C
$1,480 Vol.
36%
32°C
$2,280 Vol.
31%
33°C
$800 Vol.
15%
34°C
$1,417 Vol.
1%
35°C
$439 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$1,527 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from global and regional forecasts drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32 °C for Beijing’s August 18 maximum, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and any scattered showers. Seasonal norms place mid-August highs near 30–32 °C, with current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture supporting limited further warming or cooling. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 30 °C and 33 °C outcomes within reach. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in urban heat-island effects and rapid diurnal swings typical for the North China Plain ahead of official confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,411Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from global and regional forecasts drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32 °C for Beijing’s August 18 maximum, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and any scattered showers. Seasonal norms place mid-August highs near 30–32 °C, with current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture supporting limited further warming or cooling. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 30 °C and 33 °C outcomes within reach. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in urban heat-island effects and rapid diurnal swings typical for the North China Plain ahead of official confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,411Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model consensus from global and regional forecasts drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–32 °C for Beijing’s August 18 maximum, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, humidity, and any scattered showers. Seasonal norms place mid-August highs near 30–32 °C, with current steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture supporting limited further warming or cooling. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any instability, keeping 30 °C and 33 °C outcomes within reach. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in urban heat-island effects and rapid diurnal swings typical for the North China Plain ahead of official confirmation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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