Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBlack Forest Labs 38%
Google 28%
OpenAI 26%
Pixverse 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Black Forest Labs
38%
28%
OpenAI
26%
Pixverse
26%
Runway
26%
KlingAI
26%
Lightricks
26%
ByteDance
26%
Meta
26%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
26%
Luma AI
26%
Pruna
14%
Kandinsky
14%
Tencent
14%
Pika
14%
MiniMax
14%
Genmo AI
14%
SpaceXAI
13%
Black Forest Labs 38%
Google 28%
OpenAI 26%
Pixverse 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Black Forest Labs
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
OpenAI
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Pixverse
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Runway
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
KlingAI
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Lightricks
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
ByteDance
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Meta
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Luma AI
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Pruna
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Kandinsky
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Tencent
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Pika
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
MiniMax
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Genmo AI
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
SpaceXAI
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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